Application of forecasting methods in assessing the technical condition of cultural heritage sites
Annotation: In this article, we are analyzing modern approaches to the application of forecasting methods in assessing the technical condition of cultural heritage sites. Particular attention is concentrated on the analysis of time series, correlation dependencies and the use of regression models to identify and predict critical changes in the structure of monuments. We are described an algorithm for constructing forecasting models based on historical monitoring data and methods for validating the accuracy of the results. Our article presents recommendations for integrating forecasting methods into complex monitoring systems. It should improve the efficiency of decision-making on the preservation of cultural heritage sites. The practical significance of the work is in providing a scientifically based approach to the early detection of degradation risks and optimization of restoration and conservation measures for monuments.
Keywords: cultural heritage sites, forecasting, technical condition, assessment methods, regression analysis, monitoring, restoration.
Pages: 4-10.
For citation:
For citation: Garkin, I. N.; Sabitov, L. S.; Radionov, T. V. [et al.]. Application of forecasting methods in assessing the technical condition of cultural heritage sites. – Text : direct. – In: <em>The Builder of Donbass</em>. – 2025. – Issue 2-2025. – Р. 4-10. – doi: 10.71536/sd.2025.2c31.1. – ISSN 2617-1848. (in Russian)
Issue 2-2025
Journal: The Builder of Donbass
Publish house: Donbas National Academy of Civil Engineering and Architecture
Journal: The Builder of Donbass
Publish house: Donbas National Academy of Civil Engineering and Architecture